Recently, the topic discussed the most with my friends has been oil. It has been a long time since we had such a discussion atmosphere; it feels energizing. For a long period, the content shared has not sparked such intense discussions. I feel like I am almost rusting. Although some friends have different opinions from mine, learning and understanding different viewpoints is the way to progress.

Today, CLUSDT and BZUSDT fell by 2% and 3%, respectively, mainly because some news has come out of the market indicating that the United States is preparing to negotiate with Iran. The U.S. is preparing for talks primarily because the latest round of strikes has lasted for 13 days, and today (Beijing time) is the only day the U.S. has not announced any strikes against Iran. Therefore, there is speculation that the possibility of negotiations has been submitted, so it is a case of "offer courtesy before military action."

However, from my personal perspective and multiple sources of information, this is indeed possible, but it shouldn't happen too quickly. Although both Iran and the U.S. still keep the window for negotiation open, both sides are currently lacking a "step down," which is highly likely to be provided by a third party. The day before yesterday, Iran discussed matters with a third party, Pakistan, and the ceasefire today might have reached a very preliminary agreement, but we still need to see how things develop in the next two days.

Especially on Monday, whether Pakistan will give both sides a way out. Besides Pakistan, China is also trying to create opportunities for this "step." I hope the U.S. and Iran can end this conflict before August.

Bitcoin is still relatively stable. My test and main positions are lurking at a low buy at $63,000 on Monday. I wonder if I can buy in. If I do, my recent low buys in bitcoin:native will all be at $63,000. I am quite satisfied with this price level. Then, my test account will continue to hold at $65,000 or $66,000.

@Gate Crypto, U.S. stocks, Hong Kong stocks, South Korean stocks, gold, CFD, one-stop trading for prediction markets

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