Jim Bianco|7月 29, 2026 18:40
My reaction on @BloombergTV is below.
Two takeaways.
9 - 3 vote. Dissents are the new forward guidance.
I think when we get to the end of the Warsh term as Fed Chairman, we're going to see a vast majority of the meetings were 11-1 or 12-0 votes.
But when they are moving to change policy, dissents are the forward guidance that tells you things were going to go a different direction.
What Changed?
Bob Michael of JP Morgan asked what changed. He asked why the Fed would hike rates because the data didn't really move that much from June, when we had a 12-0 vote. Correct.
I would argue what changed is the way that the Fed now operates. It's no longer the chairman dictating and everybody doing what he tells them. They are now independent, and this hawkishness was always there; this desire to raise rates was always there. It was just not allowed to be expressed or acted on. Now it is.
That's what's changed.(Jim Bianco)
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