灯塔说|7月 23, 2026 06:06
Today's trading recap:
The high-cycle rebound isn't over yet, but the low-cycle has already shifted into correction mode.
The 4-hour upward structure for BTC remains intact for now, but the 1-hour and 15-minute charts have formed consecutive lower highs, currently searching for liquidity downward.
ETH's 4-hour structure is stronger than BTC's, but it has entered the daily supply zone, and short-term signs of new bearish pressure are more evident compared to BTC. Therefore, ETH might dip first before deciding whether to squeeze shorts.
The 659-656 support zone mentioned yesterday didn't lead to new highs. On the contrary, with crude oil prices continuing to rise and tech giants' earnings cooling off, today's market is still searching for new support levels.
bitcoin:native
On the 15-minute chart, watch the 655-653 support zone. If it breaks, look at the 645-640 hourly chart support for potential long positions. Unless it stabilizes above 663-666 in the short term, the hourly chart will remain in internal adjustment mode.
In simple terms, today's plan is to observe the 15-minute support for short-term moves, wait for the hourly chart at 645-640 to go long, and aim for a rebound near 662 to go short.
ethereum:native
ETH short-term rebound targets: 1935-1948 for shorts, or 1955-1962 for shorts.
Keep a close eye on developments in the U.S.-Iran situation. If a window for mediation or ceasefire emerges, stop shorting immediately.
ethereum:0x68749665ff8d2d112fa859aa293f07a622782f38 (gold)
The 4-hour rebound structure is solid, but the hourly chart is still in adjustment. Today, continue to wait for 4090-4080 for long positions, with a target of 4180-4200.
#RiskWarning: This is just a personal trading record and does not constitute any investment advice.
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