灯塔说|Jul 22, 2026 04:26
Sharing my trading plan and review:
1. Bitcoin continues to rise after adjustments, with fundamentals supporting the uptrend. In the short term, it’s approaching the key resistance at 67K. The long position from 63K triggered a take-profit at 66.2K yesterday. Over the past two days, I’ve been adding longs during the 65880-65500 adjustment range, and if it dips further, I’ll add more at 64500-64000. Before next week’s FOMC meeting, if Bitcoin consolidates around 67K, I’ll still buy the dips but won’t chase excessively, as August’s data might lead to bearish corrections. $BTC
2. Gold: I’ve reminded twice to build long positions in the 4000-3960 range. Although a small reversal has formed at the bottom, the key reversal point on the 4-hour chart is at 4200. Considering the fundamentals, the bullish target for gold in July is around 4200, and after August’s correction, I’ll continue to buy the dips. For intraday trades, watch for longs around 4090-4080, with targets still at 4180-4200. ethereum:0x68749665ff8d2d112fa859aa293f07a622782f38
3. Crude oil: The technical outlook leans bullish, but there’s bearish sentiment due to fundamental expectations. Crude oil is a pure risk asset, heavily influenced by news. Currently, there’s a ceasefire window emerging, and after Trump’s back-and-forth, he might eventually agree to talks. This is short-term bearish for oil but bullish for Bitcoin and gold, which is why I’m still optimistic about Bitcoin and gold. However, oil remains in short-term correction mode and will likely resume its uptrend after adjustments. The correction range is around 79-80, but if the ceasefire impact is significant, the adjustment target might drop to the 71-72 range. $WTI
4. U.S. stocks: Recently, they’ve been rebounding, but the rebound is volatile and sharp. After the rebound, further corrections are expected.
Key fundamentals to watch:
1. Google’s earnings report early Thursday morning, which will impact tech and AI-related U.S. stocks;
2. Next week’s OPEC meeting and July’s FOMC meeting, including the Fed’s interest rate decision and future outlook;
3. U.S.-Iran situation dynamics, oil price impacts, and rumors of a potential ceasefire negotiation window.
These are my recent trading thoughts and areas of focus. Just personal opinions for record-keeping, not investment advice.
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