Crypto 阿飞|Nov 24, 2025 08:14
Can $BTC complete its downtrend in just three months? Does that make sense logically?
This correction is only around 30 points, which is pretty mild compared to any real bear market. There's no panic, no despair, and the sentiment hasn't reached the liquidation stage yet. This indicates the cycle isn't over.
Breaking it down further, $BTC typically goes through three phases in a full downtrend cycle: time erosion, price breakdown, and emotional collapse. Right now, we've only seen the first phase. There's been a correction, but not enough time, not enough depth, and the psychological damage is far from complete.
History shows the same pattern. A true bear market is never about a quick crash and recovery. It's always drawn-out, slow grinding, repeated downward moves, and eventually pushes people to question everything before truly bottoming out.
If the cycle unfolds as usual, $BTC breaking below $60K wouldn't be extreme, and a downtrend lasting about a year would actually align better with market rhythm.
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