CrediBULL Crypto|Dec 21, 2025 07:47
I often get asked where my "no more than 300k" idea comes from for the top of BTC this cycle.
It comes from the idea shared in the tweet below from 2019, which demonstrates that every subsequent cycle on BTC since inception has had diminishing returns from top to bottom (along with taking longer to play out).
Because our last cycle that ended in 2017 yielded a 100x return, the expectation was that this cycle should yield less than 100x off the lows.
Because this cycle began at ~3k BTC- that would imply less than 300k for this cycle's top.
Thus far, we've already gotten a 40x out of it (3k x 40 = 120k+).
The idea has aged beautifully.(CrediBULL Crypto)
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