From the perspective of professional traders, the current trend can be summarized as: continuation of the downtrend, weak rebound, about to test the previous low.

Core Signal Breakdown

1. Moving Average System: Bearish Arrangement, Layered Suppression

   • All EMA moving averages (5, 10, 20, 40) are diverging downward, and the price is operating below all moving averages. This indicates that the medium-term trend is still firmly controlled by bears, and any rebound will face layered resistance.

   • The short-term moving average (yellow line EMA5) has crossed below the long-term moving averages, creating a clear suppressive cap.

2. MACD Indicator: Death Cross Continues, Momentum Exhaustion

   • The MACD fast and slow lines form a death cross below the zero axis (DIF crossing below DEA), and the red bearish momentum bars are continuing to enlarge.

   • This is a very clear short-term sell signal, indicating that the adjustment period has just begun and the downward momentum is still being released.

3. K-Line Pattern: Downtrend Continuation

   • After the high of 2197.77, the market experienced a sharp decline, and the subsequent small rebound failed to create a new high, followed by a relatively long bearish candle that broke below the short-term platform. This constitutes a typical bearish engulfing or evening star pattern, indicating that the market is likely to continue to explore lower levels.

Trading Strategy Suggestions

• Trend Judgment: Short-term bearish, medium-term sideways.

• Operation Suggestions:

  • Short Sell: Near the current price around 2055 or when rebounding to the 2070-2080 range meets resistance, is an ideal short point.

  • Stop Loss: Set above 2100 (the pressure resistance of the previous high).

  • Take Profit: The first target looks at 2000, the second target looks at 1950 (the previous low).

• Long Buy: Currently not a good time to catch the bottom, need to wait for the MACD momentum bars to shrink or for the price to stabilize above 2100 before considering.

In summary: Weak rebound, bear counterattack, mainly short selling in the short term.

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