I sometimes share my thoughts and views using specific targets as examples in my articles. However, the purpose of sharing these targets is certainly not for readers to simply copy my work, but to help them understand my thinking process and how I reached a conclusion.

If readers have not formed their own thoughts and do not have a true understanding, then even if they see the targets I shared and buy the same things, the final results may still be vastly different.

In the article on the 26th titled "The Greatest Self-Discipline in Investment: Do Not Invest If You Don't Understand," a reader left a comment:

"For example, can I stockpile Bitcoin?"

I have already provided a reference method for judgment in the article:

"If you buy a target or are about to buy a target, and you are asking everyone if it is worth buying."

If you find yourself in this situation, I suggest not to buy just yet. Even if you do buy, it is likely that you won't be able to hold on to it.

This is just the first step in judgment.

Further, you will have to face more "cruel" challenges, especially the doubts, disdain, mockery, and curses from various voices and news in the market...

For example, right now, the market is filled with such voices:

Notable Chinese investor, who previously favored Bitcoin, now does not have confidence in it.

The top mining machine manufacturer, Bitmain, has sold off all its inventory of Bitcoin.

There are rumors online that recent leaked Epstein documents show that Bitcoin's core team (CORE) was controlled by Epstein.

A high-profile investor mysteriously said in an interview: "If you knew who invented Bitcoin, its price would go to zero." This led to widespread speculation online that Bitcoin was invented by Epstein.

One of our readers commented: "It's time to wake up; Zhou Hongyi explained it very clearly in the latest video. It was understandable that people couldn't see it before, but if they still can't see it now, there is no excuse" ---- the famous Zhou Hongyi detailed in the video that crypto assets are manipulated by the U.S. and are part of a big conspiracy.

I could cite another ten similar news stories and messages, each more disheartening, troubling, and uncertain than the last.

When you see messages like these, what do you think? How do you feel? Can your emotions remain calm?

Are you anxious?

Are you nervous?

Do you feel that your idea of stockpiling Bitcoin is embarrassing? Demeaning? Absurd?

At this moment, would you still dare to buy Bitcoin?

Stockpiling coins sounds easy, but actually achieving it is quite difficult. So ultimately, whether you can stockpile depends only on yourself.

In the article on the 27th titled "Investment is Not About Who Has the Information First, but About Who Can Calculate Clearly and Understand," there was a comment from a reader:

"I understand, the oil space is very large, Iran is about to start a war on oil."

If one were to act solely based on the reference I provided, that would be very dangerous.

In the article, I only presented a part of my logic, not everything. I have been paying attention to oil since the second half of last year, but I thought about it for a whole six months and finally consulted AI in January of this year. How many questions did I think of during that time? How many scenarios did I consider? How many times did I ask and answer myself?

It is impossible to arrive at your logic without undergoing these processes.

If one only looks at the answers without such a thought process, investing in oil could very likely be a mistake.

I said in the article that I believe oil prices are undervalued, but I did not specify by how much. What if it's only undervalued by 10% or 20%? Is it worth “stockpiling”?

I believe oil prices will rise, but I didn't say at what price I would sell. If investors lack their own judgment and miss the selling point, the outcome could be worse.

I believe oil prices will rise, but when will they rise? Is it in a year, two years, three years, five years, or longer?

If the big surge happens in two or three years, but before it surges, its price reverses and continues to drop, even falling below the $56 I mentioned in my summary on January 9, would you still believe oil will continue to rise and that you can wait for it to reach that high point?

I believe oil prices are undervalued, but I do not consider whether the U.S. will attack Iran as a factor. Therefore, if one believes oil prices will rise solely based on the assumption that the U.S. will attack Iran, that is not my line of reasoning.

Additionally, according to public data, current oil supply exceeds demand. I wonder if readers have seen this news and if they've taken this factor into account when judging oil prices as undervalued? Have they considered whether the excessive supply implies that prices remain undervalued?

Let me bring up another more shocking "conspiracy theory": Russia might not be able to hold on much longer, and the U.S. is eager to push Russia to the negotiating table, using the method of driving down oil prices as the most effective means, and as a result, many people conclude that oil prices will plummet in the future.

After seeing this more shocking information, would readers still firmly believe that oil prices will rise in the future?

Regarding all these details, all this news, and all these voices, have investors thought carefully? Have they genuinely developed their own set of logic and reasoning that oil prices are undervalued, or do they merely "believe" that oil prices are undervalued because they saw me write about it?

If it is the latter, then I still advise: be extremely cautious and careful, and definitely do not stockpile.

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