Finally, I can enjoy a proper weekend. After seeing the price of $BTC this morning, I almost put everything aside to rest for the day. Although there were some price fluctuations over the weekend, this is normal, especially when liquidity is relatively low. The current focus is on the performance of the U.S. stock market after next Monday, and I hope we can return to the main themes of tariffs and monetary policy next week.

The drop on February 5th has indeed hurt the vitality of cryptocurrencies. It's not just about liquidations; it's more about the confusion surrounding Bitcoin itself. While chatting with friends today, we mentioned that the four-year cycle still exists. When we think that the U.S. government and institutions are buying in, Bitcoin can still drop 50% in a short time. Four years ago, in 2022, it also fell apart.

The lowest point for $BTC in 2022 was sacrificed after FTX, and I hope that 2026 will be the lowest this time.

Looking back at Bitcoin's data, the trading volume over the weekend has started to decline. Although it hasn't returned to normal levels, there has been a significant decrease, indicating that investor sentiment is gradually easing. However, it is indeed difficult to say that the upcoming trends will be smooth sailing. Trump's tariffs and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy still have many uncertain factors. For me personally, the only thing to look forward to is the midterm elections in 2026.

From the perspective of chip structure data, the current stability is still quite good. Although the continuous decline has caused $BTC to break through two support levels, it is rare that the first two support levels remain very strong and show no signs of collapse. This indicates that early investors are not sensitive to short-term prices and are still focused on long-term holding.

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