Bitcoin traded around the $102,000 to $105,000 range, mirroring the cautious tone across global markets as investors reacted to a temporary funding deal in Washington and weaker U.S. labor indicators.

The Senate approved a stopgap bill extending government funding through January 30, offering a brief reprieve from the 40-day shutdown that has slowed data releases and disrupted federal operations. The bill now heads to the House and, if passed, will reach the White House for final approval.

QCP’s market insights described the move as a “kick-the-can” solution, one that prevents near-term disruption but sets up another fiscal showdown early next year. Market participants appeared relieved nonetheless.

According to Polymarket, there’s now a 96% probability that the shutdown will end between November 12–15, easing immediate fears of prolonged gridlock. With official data still frozen, private surveys have taken center stage.

The NFIB Small Business Index showed a modest dip in sentiment, with firms citing slower sales expectations and margin pressures, echoing weakness seen in the ADP employment report. The trend reinforces expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain an “easing with caution” stance into the December FOMC meeting.

While lingering uncertainty and tariff tensions could stir volatility through Q4, analysts remain broadly constructive. Supportive monetary and fiscal policy, along with resilient corporate earnings, are expected to underpin risk assets and crypto heading into 2026.

FAQ🏛️

• Why is bitcoin range trading?
  BTC ranged as markets reacted calmly to a temporary U.S. government funding deal and soft labor data.
• What does the new funding deal mean for markets?
  The stopgap bill extends funding to January 30, easing shutdown fears but delaying a full fiscal resolution.
• How did economic data influence sentiment?
  Weaker small business and labor reports reinforced expectations for cautious Fed easing in December.
• What’s the outlook for Bitcoin and risk assets?
  Analysts see short-term volatility but expect supportive policy and earnings to sustain BTC strength into 2026.

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