2025.11.10 Ethereum Thought Sharing:

Monthly Level: Wide fluctuations, looking for a bottom downwards, reaching for a high upwards. After touching the major dense support area around 3100 discussed last week, there was a rebound. It has been repeatedly emphasized that the trend in November is still a wide fluctuation downwards. The area around 3100 should be a key point to buy long. Before breaking the previous low, treat 3080-3125 as the bottom to trade. After breaking 3030, look to buy long in the 2850-2836 area. The important resistance level above is near the opening price of 3858. If it breaks through, and the monthly line closes positively, it will be a process of reaching for a high. Currently, the monthly line has completed one-third and has also recovered above MA7, with a high point potentially reaching around 4680 (of course, this is a prediction of the high point, and specifics need to be observed in conjunction with subsequent real-time operations).

Weekly Level: Rise first, then fall.

Opening at 3512, there is a hanging line that rises. After reaching a high, there is still a need for a pullback. The pressure for the weekly line to move upwards is around 3940, which is also a strong support that turned into strong resistance after breaking below 4000. Therefore, positions close to just below 3940 can be shorted. After reaching a high, the pullback looks at two positions: the first is a pullback near MA50 without breaking the previous low at 3150-3125, and then there is the strong support at the MA120 daily moving average and the lower Bollinger band at 2850 (with a 30-point range up and down).

5-Day Level: Bullish, with a pullback after the line change. The opening price is around 3293, where there is also a hanging line that rises. There are still 2 days until the line change, and the price has already risen quite high from the opening price. Therefore, this 5-day line will likely continue to push higher, and a pullback will occur only after the line change. Personally, I believe it will start to turn down after Wednesday. The upward movement is near the monthly opening price, close to just below 3858, with dual pressure from MA30-MA7 around 3820.

3-Day Level: Bullish, reaching for a high. The previous line dropped to the MA120 daily moving average, touched the bottom, and rebounded, closing around 3275. Last week, it was mentioned that after the rebound, it reached 3485, and for the pullback, there are two short-term support points to watch: the first is 3365, and the second is around 3275, which is the rebound position of the 3-day line. After hitting around 3365 last night, it started to rebound, which is the position after a 4-hour pullback, all verified through real-time trading. The 3-day line continues to move upwards, targeting the MA7 around 3750. After the first hit here, there will be a wave of pullback. So, this is a short position.

1-Day Level: Bullish, reaching for a high. The daily line stabilized and rebounded after a pullback near 3195, forming a low-position doji star. After the line change, a bullish candle broke through the high of the doji star at 3365, signaling a short-term trend reversal and support for the pullback. Now, looking at the daily level, the recent pressure is around the middle Bollinger band at 3740, which resonates with the MA7 of the 3-day line. If you are hesitant to chase the rise, it is more appropriate to short around 3740-3760.

4-Hour Level: Last week, it was mentioned that the 4-hour chart formed an upward channel, fluctuating upwards, with a high around 3485. After the entity broke through last night, it formed an upward break of the channel, with continued upward pressure at the MA120 daily moving average around 3760. For a pullback, look at the breakout position of the channel at 3485, or if it breaks below 3500, it can be a short-term buy, just ensure proper risk management.

Regarding risk management, my personal habit is to keep it within 40 points for short-term trades and 80 points for medium-term positions. The above are my personal views for reference only. Market conditions change rapidly, and the thought process is time-sensitive, so specifics need to be observed in conjunction with real-time trading.

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