Tracking real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency market and seizing the best trading opportunities, today is Monday, April 7, 2025, I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends ☀️ Die-hard fans check in 👍 Like to make big money 🍗🍗🌹🌹
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Affected by tariff policies, global stock markets have experienced the most severe decline since 2020, and the "domino effect" in the global financial market has now erupted, with the crypto market not being spared. Last night, a "yep" caused a huge shock in the global stock market and a massive surge in BTC, it was truly ridiculous and thrilling! The U.S. stock market closed on Monday with significant fluctuations under the trade storm, the Dow Jones initially fell by 0.9%, the S&P 500 index dropped by 0.2%, and the Nasdaq rose by 0.1%. The three major stock indices had daily fluctuations of 6.77%, 8.11%, and 9.68%, respectively. Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose by 3.5%, Apple (AAPL.O) fell by 3.6%, and Tesla (TSLA.O) dropped by 2%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in May is 43%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 57%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates until June is 20.4%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 49.7% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 29.9%.
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Bitcoin surged to 81,172 last night due to news but did not stabilize at that level, instead, it faced a strong downward movement. Early yesterday morning, it dropped to a low of 77,300. From the current trend, it is still in a contest around the 80,000 mark, without giving a clear signal. However, from the hourly chart, the bullish trend has shown three consecutive green candles, with an increase of nearly three to four thousand points. This rebound is more of a technical correction rather than a fundamental trend change. Such rebounds often lack sustainability, and in the current weak pattern, any rebound appears exceptionally fragile. Even if the market shows a certain degree of recovery in the short term, it is unlikely to change the overall downward trend. In terms of operations, refer to the rebound high point of 81,200 from last night as a short-term resistance point to short once, and look at around 77,500 below. If the second downward test does not refresh the low, it can basically lock in the range of the oscillation box, and adjustments can be made based on the oscillation range at that time.
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Regarding Ethereum, although there was also a rebound last night, peaking at 1,637 before starting to fall back, it later rebounded after testing a low of 1,525. However, from a larger perspective, the overall trend still shows a bearish stance. In the auxiliary indicators, the trend of the DEA and DIF crossing downwards has not been reversed, and the K-line has not yet returned to the BOLL channel. This morning, it is crucial to pay attention to the strength of the rebound; if there are signs of pressure, the focus should still be on shorting. From the short-term 4-hour chart, the MACD shows a decrease in volume and an increase in positions, indicating a slight warming of bullish strength, with short-term indicators pulling back. This morning, attention should be paid to the breakthrough of the middle track; if the rebound cannot break through the middle track, then the price of Ethereum still has the possibility of being pressured downwards. The current market has entered an extremely oversold state and has pulled back to a normal range. At this time, capturing rebound space may yield limited profits, so it is still recommended to look for opportunities to short at higher levels for more stability.
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If you are feeling confused—don’t understand the technology, can’t read the charts, don’t know when to enter the market, don’t know how to set stop losses, don’t understand take profits, randomly increase positions, get stuck while trying to catch the bottom, can’t hold onto profits, miss market opportunities… these are common problems for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the correct trading mindset. A single profit is worth more than a thousand words, and finding the right direction is better than repeatedly failing. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike precisely, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends should be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to moving steadily forward in the market with you.
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