TraderS | 缺德道人
TraderS | 缺德道人|9月 02, 2026 02:18
Early in the morning, I saw that the situation between the United States and Iran showed no signs of easing, and WTI oil prices were about to break through 92. Currently, the pressure level is around the top 94, just one step away. From the perspective of the market, the previous crude oil short positions were indeed impulsive, completely on the left side. Trading is like this, knowing that there is no macro easing signal and the price is not the highest, but it has been a long time since I started trading and I want to rush. Fortunately, the opening price is not too outrageous, with an average price of 88.8 and triple leverage, so we won't go bankrupt. We'll just hold on to it first, as having stock is the key to stability. We'll make up for it later based on the progress of the war. The high oil prices continue to rise, and the expectation of a September interest rate hike, which was raised last Friday due to the hawkish remarks of Walsh, has now reached 67.2%, which is a pricing point for the Federal Reserve to almost raise interest rates. And this also fulfilled my previous expectation that it would take a combination of large non farm payroll and CPI data to reach the height ahead of schedule. If the expectation of a September interest rate hike is so high at this moment, then the next big non farm payroll and CPI data may not need to be so hawkish, or these two data may continue to be hawkish while the Federal Reserve may not need to raise interest rates. The so-called expectation adjustment is like this: if the market thinks it won't increase, it will increase; if the market thinks it will increase, it will not increase. To maintain the authority of the Federal Reserve to the greatest extent, it is difficult to guess, and the mysterious orientation, including reducing the number of meetings and information disclosure, is also aimed at raising the authority of the market when there are few cards. There is no problem with the generous and upward strategy of Duojin Air Oil. Now is a better position than yesterday and two days ago, and you can consider buying according to your own situation. @BITstocks_CN buys US stocks on BIT, with over 10000 US stocks and ETFs, holding real positions and enjoying dividends.
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