Murphy|Aug 31, 2026 01:33
2026 Xiong Niu Over Series 1- PSIP's Higher High
PSIP (Profit Supply Percentage), as an indicator from the perspective of "chip structure", has once again been validated for its effectiveness in this cycle.
Whenever the PSIP falls below 50%, indicating a reversal in BTC's profit and loss structure, this usually occurs in the bottom range of the major cycle (red zone).
During bear market cycles, the high point of each rebound of PSIP will not exceed the previous high point, which is the most intuitive manifestation of BTC's downward trend.
However, when a rebound of PSIP creates a 'Higher High', it should be taken seriously because this is an abnormal phenomenon.
Only after the chips are fully exchanged and the overall cost is significantly reduced, can the price not be higher, but the PSIP is higher.
For example, in May of this year BTC $82000, PSIP 65%; And now BTC $80000, PSIP 70%;
Compared to price behavior, this is a pre trend signal.
It indirectly confirms the formation of a bottom structure from June to August, synchronously increasing the probability of "reversal, not rebound".
If the market begins to enter a bear bull transition period, PSIP is unlikely to fall below 50% again (except for super black swans like 3.12).
Afterwards, whenever PSIP falls below 65% (green zone), it is an excellent opportunity to board on the right side.
And the earlier you grasp it, the better, because the later you go, even if the PSIP is below 65%, the price of BTC may not necessarily be lower.
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In conclusion
All data or indicators can only give you an approximate position of the cycle, but they won't tell you which day you should buy or sell.
In June of this year, I wrote three articles titled "2026 Bottom fishing Series" (link below), using logical analysis and data backtesting to provide reference for my friends' trading timing.
If you haven't bought it after reading it all, it's really regrettable, but it's okay!
Now, I plan to write another 'Bear Bull Over Series'; I hope it can help those who have previously stepped out of the air find suitable entry nodes on the right side.
At the same time, I also want to tell all the friends who have already boarded the car:
Take hold of your cheap chips,
No matter how turbulent the waves may be halfway through;
We will definitely meet at the peak!
June 10
2026 Bottom signal series 1- Profit and loss bite, structural reset
https://(((x.com)))/Murphychen888/status/2064601867234271706
June 15
2026 Bottom signal series 2- Floating profit and selling pressure, almost exhausted
https://(((x.com)))/Murphychen888/status/2066332361470386373
June 29
2026 Bottom Signal Series 3- Never Failed CVDD
https://(((x.com)))/Murphychen888/status/2071398247701135411
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