DC大于C|Aug 30, 2026 14:56
Talking about NVDA again, the reason for entering the short position earlier was the expectation that Walsh's speech would be hawkish.
And that’s exactly what happened. After the speech, the probability of a September rate hike surged by 50%, U.S. stock indices dropped, and the NVDA short position paid off.
The weekend saw little volatility. NVDA closed around 218 during the night session, and over the weekend, Binance contracts fluctuated around 219.
Let’s see if there’s further downside after tomorrow’s opening, but for now, the key factor that could change the macro situation is oil prices.
It depends on the U.S. stance moving forward. If the strait situation can gradually stabilize—even if it doesn’t return to pre-conflict levels—any gradual recovery would put downward pressure on oil prices.
This would ease inflationary pressures, weaken rate hike expectations, and lead to a rebound in U.S. stocks, especially core heavyweights like NVDA.
At that point, it might be time to close the short position and quickly shift strategies.
So, Monday and Tuesday could be critical. If it doesn’t drop further (let’s see if it can touch around 210), it’s time to exit.
After all, this was always meant to be a short-term trade. DYOR.
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