Latest Bottom Picking Strategy for Bitcoin Spot (Revised Version) A friend asked me: Can I wait until Bitcoin drops below 70000 before buying the bottom? I also cannot accurately predict where the ultimate target price for Bitcoin's decline will be. There is a classic and effective saying in the trading world: vague correctness is better at capturing trend trends than pursuing precise prices. Based on the three-dimensional integrated trading system, the current correction is classified as a healthy retracement in the initial stage of the bull market, not a bear turn. The core logic of the latest spot buying strategy is to build positions in batches after confirming support through a pullback, rather than a one-time heavy position. The core idea I gave is to start with a low absorption in batches starting from 75000, wait for a stabilization signal, and not aim to buy at the bottom and reach the lowest point. 1. Three core bottom fishing intervals Based on the triple resonance of weekly and daily Fibonacci retracement, on chain chips, and giant whale pending orders, the target range for the pullback is as follows: 75000-76000, with a 20% position. The first line of defense. Approaching the cost base for short-term holders (76600), if the reduction in volume stabilizes and the long-term decline persists, it is time to start building positions. 73000-74500, with a 30% position. Maximum probability of callback target. Whale hanging area (72611-74222)+Fib 0.382 pullback position+triple resonance. If the reduction in volume stabilizes, it is the optimal range for adding positions with the best profit loss ratio. 71000-72000, remaining 30%. Near the 200 day moving average+Fib 0.5 retracement level. If the price falls to this range, it indicates that the market sentiment is weak, but it is still a defensive range of buying in batches. Reserve 20% of the space to defend against prices falling below 70000 to 67500. If the price really drops to around 67500, then continue to buy a 20% position. If the BTC price continues to fall above 60000, then we can only tolerate short-term floating losses, with a 99% profit margin in the medium to long term. Principle: The interval between each purchase is sufficiently large (at least 1500-2000 points or more), and the total position is allocated in batches, with the last transaction reserved for the most extreme situation. 2. Confirmation criteria for price stabilization signals We are not waiting for the lowest point, but we need to wait for signals of stabilization. Three elements of price stabilization signal: K-line pattern: A long shadow line (shadow line ≥ 2 times solid) or a positive line swallowing the previous negative line appears at the 4-hour level; Quantity and energy structure: The volume decreases and falls back to the support zone, and the quantity and energy gradually shrink during the decline process; On chain confirmation: Giant Whale's pending orders have been activated or ETFs have re entered with increased volume. After meeting the above conditions, decisively intervene in batches. 3. Execution rules for buying Bitcoin spot at the bottom 75000-76000: If the price reaches this range and there is a stabilizing signal, buy a 20% position; 73000-74500: Core warehousing interval. If the price reaches the region and the volume stabilizes, increase the position by 30%; 71000-72000: Defensive bottom fishing range. If the price deeply rebounds to this point, buy the remaining 30% position; 65000-67500: Defend the bottom buying range and buy the remaining 20% position. If the price falls below 65000 and is confirmed, it indicates that the correction structure has been disrupted. Consider whether to stop loss and wait for a new bottom signal, or endure short-term floating losses and hold firmly. 4. Right side confirmation signal Breaking through 82000-83000 in volume and confirming the weekly closing, it is considered as a signal for the start of the bull market's main uptrend. If the price does not reach the bottom buying range and directly breaks through 82000, the remaining bullets can chase the right side to break through. 5. The core principle of bottom fishing spot trading Start building warehouses at 75000, not waiting for the lowest point: buy in batches to control costs; A callback is a range, not a single price point: 75000 to 72000 is a phased warehouse area, not a one-time purchase; A pullback is not a bear turn, it's an opportunity to get in the car: the medium-term bullish structure is complete,; Contracts are not the first choice, and it is better to lower the profit and loss ratio of spot goods in batches: Contract leverage will amplify volatility risk, and spot stocks can withstand greater volatility. If the price drops to the range of 71500-75000 and shows signs of stabilization in the future, specific entry operation reminders will be issued. --Mr. Xiaolong