Read this and felt quite emotional. Especially the last part—ordinary people should: Give up on swing trading, give up on predicting short-term trends, and focus on the most important decision: *judging the cycle position.* In other words, unlike those contract trading pros, you don’t need precise entry points or short-term trend predictions. You just need to roughly judge where we are in the four-year cycle. Is it a bear market or a bull market? Near the top? Near the bottom? Note: You only need to figure out if we’re near the top or the bottom. There’s no need—and it’s impossible—to perfectly predict the absolute top or bottom. That’s a fantasy. Let it go. But if you can roughly assess the current market condition (bull or bear) and the market phase, that’s enough. And theoretically, this isn’t *that* hard. If the market is full of despair, and the once-active bull market groups are now dead silent, you can pretty much conclude we’re in a bear market and near the bottom. For example, in the past couple of months, all the big crypto influencers on Twitter started shifting their focus to U.S. stocks and AI. If the groups are buzzing, people are casually throwing around single-coin A7s (millions of $M), and there’s a flood of good news in the market, it’s probably signaling the top of the bull market (or even the altcoin peak). Take last year’s TRUMP coin launch, for instance. Everyone was making millions, and the big crypto influencers on Twitter were all moving from ETH to SOL. That was already a clear sign of the bull market peak. Unfortunately, during that altcoin and meme coin bull peak, I was still dreaming. So I held onto $SOL from $295 all the way down to now (as low as $60, and I even added leverage). You can imagine how painful that was. The good news is, I survived the bear market. And when we got close to the bottom, I could kind of feel it: Late July, I posted: *The bottom is near.* There’s an old saying: It takes an average retail investor three full bull-bear cycles (without getting wiped out) to finally make their own wealth. This current cycle happens to be my third one. I haven’t been wiped out yet. And I still believe that crypto is one of the best paths forward for ordinary people like us. #Crypto #BTC #ETH #SOL #BearMarket #BullMarket #Investing