Crypto Rover|Aug 28, 2026 14:50
🚨 FED CHAIR KEVIN WARSH JUST DELIVERED A MAJOR WARNING ON INFLATION AND INTEREST RATES.
Key points from his Jackson Hole speech:
→ The Fed’s 2% inflation target is “firm and fixed.”
→ Inflation is still too high, with PCE at 3.7% over the past year.
→ 54% of goods and services in the PCE basket are still seeing price increases above 3%.
→ Recent better inflation data has NOT convinced him that the underlying trend has improved.
→ The economy remains strong and the labor market is near full employment.
→ Financial conditions are NOT restrictive despite current interest rates.
→ S&P 500 profits have jumped more than 20% over the past year.
→ More than half of this year’s business investment growth is linked to the AI buildout.
→ Warsh called AI a potential “hinge point” for economic growth, but questioned how quickly it will actually boost productivity.
→ He warned that inflation expectations can look stable “until they don’t.”
→ He said the Fed itself is responsible for 65 months of elevated inflation.
→ Warsh wants less forward guidance and said markets should stop looking to the Fed for their “next trade.”
→ He said interest rates should remain the Fed’s main policy tool, with unconventional measures reserved for real crises.
→ Most importantly, Warsh said the Fed must see inflation moving clearly and quickly toward 2% — otherwise, “we have work to do.”
Warsh did NOT commit to a September rate hike, but his message was clearly hawkish: inflation remains the Fed’s biggest problem, the economy is still strong, and further tightening remains on the table.(Crypto Rover)
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