貝格先生🐢|Aug 27, 2026 01:42
Escape of PTSD patients in bear market: The first wave of profit taking begins to digest
In every bear market, apart from deeply trapped souls,
There is always a group of traders in the market who are "rebounding short and staying in the palace".
The former is eager to recoup their investment, while the latter maintains a habitual short selling mindset, which leads to:
Whenever the first wave of bull surges appears, these two types of people will coincidentally "fear heights",
This led to the first wave of profit taking in the market.
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The indicator in the attached figure is Realized Profit, translated as "realized profit" in Chinese. The concept is reviewed as follows:
➡️ One of the fundamental indicators in on chain analysis, used to measure the scale of daily profit taking
➡️ In the late stage of a bull market, the application of "top flight" is an extremely efficient forward-looking indicator
➡️ Above all, the Realized Profit of "massive volume+concentration" is a typical escape signal
Friends interested in conducting in-depth research can refer to the tutorials and practical analysis I have previously written :
Introduction to the Realized Profit Indicator:
https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/1866039986598068642
January 24, 2025: Realistic Profit Top Escaping Application Practical Post
https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/1882645089786450368
October 3, 2025: Practical Application Post on "Profit Pressure Analysis"
https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/1973924335254692051
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As shown in the attached figure, with the recent vertical rise of BTC,
This has led to the largest wave of huge profit realization in the market since November 2025.
However, although it is referred to as a 'huge quantity', we can also see from the attached image that:
The current scale of Realized Profit can only be considered a "relatively large amount",
If compared to the scale that appeared at the top of the bull market, it can be said to be completely insignificant ❌
Similar situations almost always occur during the transition period between the end of the bear and the beginning of the bull,
For example, there is a similar pattern in the early 2023 bull market that I marked on the left side of the attached image.
In principle, it is also easy to understand :
➡️ Short term holders who are trapped are eager to recoup their investment and often engage in selling behavior after being released from the trap
➡️ Traders who maintain a habitual bear market mindset are more willing to take profits during price surges rather than holding them
Returning to the present, the view on the current wave of profit taking is actually quite simple:
The absolute scale is not large and cannot be a factor in ending the bull market trend
In the short to medium term, it may hinder price increases, and the market may need time to digest it
Comprehensive evaluation can be conducted by combining other factors, including Liq and trend structure .. Wait
Written in the beginning of the cow
https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2091702058009420064
For example, based on yesterday's analysis post (citation below), the path may be:
➡️ After breaking through 83K, Stop Hunt behavior appeared, and at the same time, Realized Profit increased again
➡️ The price directly begins to rebound and create a volatile structure to digest this wave of profit realization
Finally, it is emphasized once again that:
No matter how the final market chooses, all we can do is' plan ahead ',
Anticipate all possible and reasonable trends and design different response strategies accordingly,
Then it's time to be patient and wait for the price to fly into our predetermined hitting zone ⚾ ️
The above is today's content, hoping to be helpful to everyone
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Related reading resources
Dreaming back to the bear bottom of 2023: If given a chance to step back on STH-RP ..
https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2092064431723459015
Strange Turn: The proportion of 1y-3y holders begins to decline
https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2089528447320428775
Berg Chain Weekly Report (90): Single pole breaking 100, wind and rain approaching
https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2088804818865590647
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