金十数据
金十数据|Aug 26, 2026 08:55
On September 2nd at 10:00, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rate decision: The market expects a second consecutive 25 basis point rate hike to 2.75% in September, and ANZ Bank believes that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is still likely to raise interest rates again in October. On September 2nd at 21:45, the Bank of Canada's interest rate decision stated that the market expects interest rates to remain unchanged at 2.25% in September. Bank of Canada expects the Bank of Canada to raise its policy rate to 2.75% by the end of 2026 and reach 3% by early 2027. On September 10th at 20:15, the European Central Bank's interest rate decision stated that the market expects a 25 basis point rate hike to 2.50% in September, and sources said that the bank has no intention of sending a signal to continue raising interest rates after September. On September 17th at 02:00, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision: According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch," the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 60.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 39.6%; The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until October is 45.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 44.7%. On September 17th at 19:00, the Bank of England's interest rate decision stated that the market expects the benchmark interest rate to remain unchanged at 3.75% for the remainder of this year. LSEG data shows that the market is currently pricing a cumulative 23 basis point rate hike by the Bank of England before the end of the year. 6. Around 10:00 on September 18th, the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision: The market expects a 25 basis point hike to 1.25% in September. Goldman Sachs expects to further raise interest rates in January and July 2027, when the policy rate will reach 1.75%. On September 24th at 15:30, the Swiss National Bank's interest rate decision stated that the market expects the zero interest rate state to continue until the end of 2027, and the first interest rate hike may need to wait until early 2028. Swiss central bank director Tschudin stated that if inflation requires it, it is not ruled out to restart negative interest rates. On September 24th at 15:30, the Swedish central bank's interest rate decision stated that if inflation continues to exceed expectations, interest rate hikes may still occur this year. Nomura Securities maintains its expectation of unchanged policy interest rates this year and expects to raise interest rates in March 2027. On September 29th at 12:30, the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision: The market expects the risk of a rate hike in September to increase, and Citigroup and ANZ Bank predict that the Reserve Bank of Australia may raise interest rates by 25 basis points in November. (All the above times are Beijing time)
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