Aaron Dishner
Aaron Dishner|8月 25, 2026 02:15
BTC closed Monday up 1.62%, tagging a fresh local high right at 80,000, but RSI only managed a lower high at 88, so we've got a confirmed bearish divergence layered on top of six straight days overbought. That doesn't mean Bitcoin has to drop today, but I'm watching the fast line near 70,400 and the 618 Fib around 72K as the realistic pullback zones if buyers pause here. Ethereum is in the same boat, overbought for seven days after topping near 2,546, so I'm watching for a bearish RSI reset on both coins rather than assuming the rally just keeps ripping without a breather. Dominance is telling the real story of where money is flowing right now. Stablecoin dominance cratered to oversold, Bitcoin dominance spiked, Ethereum dominance is still strong but showing early bearish RSI resets, and Solana dominance just broke out with its first closed short since 2023, which tells me alts are starting to wake up even though TOTAL3ESBTC shows we're still nowhere near the euphoric highs from past cycles. The total crypto market cap excluding stables pushed back to 2.4 trillion, and closing above that would open the door to a much hotter move, so I'm treating every one of these pullbacks as a buying opportunity rather than something to fear. On the TradFi side, DXY caught a bullish RSI reset after Besant's comments on Iran sanctions, S&P Futures are chopping inside the cloud even with strong PMI data, Nvidia printed a bearish reversal after earnings, and gold is threatening to break above the 0.5 Fib level in a big way. Across my picks, Club picks, and YouTube picks I'm leaning hard into buy the dip mode on names like Solana, Injective, XLM, APT, Uber, Meta, and App, because between the overbought streaks and the dominance rotation, I still think we're early in this cycle, not late. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin Recovery Signals Support a Bounce 07:50 Ethereum Support, Momentum and Trade Risk 10:42 Bitcoin Dominance Overbought Conditions Raise Exhaustion Risk 14:07 Ethereum Dominance and Altcoin Rotation 21:51 TOTAL3ESBTC Resistance Shows Altcoins Are Still Early 26:36 EURUSD Bearish Consolidation Raises Downside Risk 29:24 Tesla Overbought Momentum Tests the Fast Line 35:02 LINK and Altcoin Watchlist Risk 39:13 BONK Resistance Could Confirm a Bullish Trend 51:15 NBIS Bearish Consolidation Raises Downside Risk(Aaron Dishner)
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