星球日报|8月 23, 2026 06:14
[Polymarket 'BTC to Reach $80,000 in the Remaining Days of August' Probability Drops to 43%, Down 19% in 24 Hours]
Monitoring by the PPP prediction market tool shows that the probability of 'BTC reaching $80,000 in the remaining days of August' on Polymarket has dropped to 43%, a 19% decrease in the past 24 hours. Additionally, the probability of reaching $85,000 has fallen to 12%, down 7% in 24 hours.
According to the settlement rules, this market uses the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair as the standard. During the specified month in the title (from 00:00 on the 1st to 23:59 on the last day, Eastern Time), if the highest price of any 1-minute K-line equals or exceeds the price specified in the title, the market will immediately settle as Yes; otherwise, it will settle as No. This market exclusively references the 1-minute K-line High price of Binance's BTC/USDT pair, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are not included.
In terms of market performance, Bitcoin briefly approached $80,000 on Friday, reaching a peak of approximately $79,500 before retreating over the weekend. It recently dipped below $76,000 for a short time but has since rebounded to around $76,000.
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