小龙先生|Aug 22, 2026 14:26
Has the Bitcoin bear market truly ended? Is the bull market already starting?
Was the bear market bottom at 57,800? After Bitcoin surged 26% in the past few days, will there be a pullback? Among the three scenarios outlined in the tweet I referenced below, which one has the highest probability?
I input the tweet below into the Triune Xiaowei AI, and its final conclusion was slightly different from mine.
Xiaowei AI's judgment: 'The bear market has likely bottomed out (75%), with 57,800 as the bottom. However, a true bull market still requires "a breakout above 83,339 with strong volume" for final confirmation.'
Xiaowei AI's strongest inclination: 'The yellow path (retesting 63,000-63,500) is likely the "most Wyckoff-confirmed path," as the ultimate test of retesting the previous low (62,751) after a spring is textbook behavior. The blue path (70,000) is the shallowest but requires early bull market confirmation, while the red path (57,800) is the deepest but underestimated in probability in the article.'
For detailed analysis, judgment, and trading strategies, check out the video of my Xiaowei AI analysis report below
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