I think there's a high probability that BTC will break through $82K. Right now, we're near the previous rebound high, and it's no longer just a simple "technical resistance level." More importantly: A large number of futures short positions likely have their stop-losses clustered in this small range. This means that above $82K, there's an extremely tempting: "Liquidity sweet spot" As long as the price sweeps upward, Short stop-losses → Forced liquidations → Buy orders triggered → Price continues to surge → More shorts get liquidated. So even if there isn't strong enough spot buying pressure later on, this level itself could still be swept past due to liquidity clearing. That's why I believe: Breaking $82K ≠ Bull market confirmation. In fact, I'm leaning more toward another scenario: First, wipe out all the shorts at $82K, then see the first real violent pullback. Because in my view, if the market drops directly now, there are still too many shorts onboard. The truly ruthless play might be: First break $82K → Trigger collective short stop-losses → FOMO money starts chasing longs → The whole market shouts, "The bull market is back!" → The last batch of shorts completely surrenders → Then comes a long upper shadow + high-volume pullback. Especially if this happens during a weekend when liquidity is thinner, I wouldn't be surprised at all. So my conclusion is simple: 1. $82K is very likely to be broken. 2. The first driving force behind the breakout might be short liquidations, not sustained spot buying. 3. The real violent pullback to watch out for might happen after shorts completely surrender. 4. So even if $82K is broken, don't go all-in just because you see one big green candle. The market is often most dangerous, not when everyone is scared, but when— The last short starts believing: "The bull market is really back." This is purely my personal speculation and does not constitute any investment advice. It's okay to be wrong, but don't lose vigilance.