"This week’s geopolitical backdrop sharpens the dilemma. Higher oil prices and uncertainty around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz add an inflation premium; the 5y5y US inflation swap forward is now close to its May peak even though headline inflation has fallen by almost a percentage point since then. This comes just as fiscal supply tests investors’ appetite for duration. The Treasury can address market plumbing, but it cannot buy back geopolitical risk, inflation risk or fiscal arithmetic." - Rabobank(zerohedge)