Aaron Dishner|Aug 21, 2026 03:06
Bitcoin exploded again on Thursday, jumping 5.3% to 73,400 and closing right above our 72,204 short term Fibonacci level, filling that fair value gap from the June 1st drop that a viewer flagged weeks ago. I'm not chasing this move since it's up 17% in a week, which is too far too fast, so I'm watching for a pullback toward the 66,000 fast line before adding rather than jumping in front of a speeding train. RSI closed at 91.63, the most overbought since November 2024, but unlike that rally year we're still technically in a bottom year, and spot volume at 2.6 billion tells me this is real demand, not just liquidation-driven futures noise.
Ethereum is right there with it, pushing to a new local high near 2,360 with RSI at 94.31, nearly the mirror image of June's oversold reading, and it's testing the 2,376 TVO resistance zone on strong volume. Stablecoin dominance has cratered to an oversold 8.54 RSI, the lowest since November 2023, and Bitcoin dominance is surging, which tells me money is still rotating into large caps like BTC and ETH before it trickles down into the broader altcoin market. On the TradFi side DXY looks headed lower, gold confirmed a close above resistance, and it's honestly strange that S&P futures dropped almost a percent while crypto is ripping like this.
On my picks, Solana broke TBO resistance with RSI at its highest since 2025, Trump coin pumped 27% on what looks like a short squeeze, WIF closed above a long standing resistance level for the first time in ages, and HBAR cleared major overhead resistance that's held since 2025. A lot of these charts have moved 15 to 30% in days and are hitting resistance, so I'm treating fresh entries carefully and favoring DCA rather than chasing. Over in the club picks, stocks are still lagging behind crypto's move, with Oracle showing bullish TBL closes and Nvidia holding support, while Netflix already tagged its early take profit target.
CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 Bitcoin Price Structure Awaits Confirmation
05:45 BTC Close Above Daily Cloud Signals Higher Fib Targets
11:46 Ethereum Support, Momentum and Trade Risk
18:21 OTHERS Market Breadth
25:26 S&P Futures and Equity Risk
31:55 LINK and Altcoin Watchlist Risk
41:01 Meme Coin Risk and Sentiment
45:38 UNI Support Levels Define the Risk Scenario
52:07 ISRG Support Levels Define the Risk Scenario
59:55 Chainlink Watchlist Risk
1:03:55 STRK Overbought Momentum Tests the Fast Line
1:07:54 YouTube Picks and Market Risk Signals(Aaron Dishner)
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