小龙先生
小龙先生|Aug 20, 2026 13:34
3D Integrated Trading System | BTC Evening Strategy Update -----Will there be a decent pullback after Bitcoin rebounds to the range of 73000-75000? Brothers and sisters, this rebound is really fierce. BTC has been pulled from 62800 to 71500 or more, and nearly 9000 points have been done in two days. Now the market is discussing 72000, 73000, and even some people are shouting 100000. But what I want to talk about is not 'how much more can it rise', but: will there be a decent pullback after the range of 73000-75000 is reached? I think it's highly likely. 1、 Why is 73000-75000 a strong resistance zone? There are multiple technical pressures in the range of 73000-75000: (1) The position of the weekly downward trend line. The long-term suppression line from 126800 is currently located near this area; (2) The historical chip intensive area with a high point of 72000-73000 in March 2024; (3) 73300 is the recent technical resistance level for BTC; (4) 83000 is a higher level of horizontal resistance, and 73-75K is the first hurdle. From the perspective of the Weikov structure, the current rebound belongs to the natural rebound after stage C (spring), and the true major resistance is around 83000. But as the first line of defense against the downtrend line, 73000-75000 is likely to trigger profit taking outflows and bearish counterattacks. 2、 How deep will the callback be? Refer to two scenarios If BTC is blocked and falls back after reaching 73000-75000: Shallow callback (high probability): retracement 68000-70000 -This is the key resistance to breakthrough in the early stage, and also the psychological support zone of 69200-69800 -If the reduction in volume stabilizes within this range, it is a second chance to get on the train Deep retracement (moderate probability): retracement to 65000-66000 -If there is a bearish trend externally, or if there is a lack of follow-up after this bearish trend subsides -This range is the upper edge of the early chip intensive area and also the last line of defense for bulls 3、 Callback is not a bad thing The trend towards health has never been a vertical upward trend. After a rapid rise, if the price can confirm the previous breakthrough level through a pullback, it will instead form a stronger market structure. Early buyers already had a floating profit, while those who entered later often had FOMO chasing after higher prices. Even a normal retracement can cause panic among new traders. But if it is a healthy retest - resistance becomes support, and buyers return at key price points, then it is a confirmation signal of trend strength. 4、 Strategy reference Near 73000-75000: If there are multiple orders, start taking profits in batches and move the stop loss up to 70000. If you want to be empty, wait until there is a clear obstruction signal (long upper shadow/solid negative line) in this range before considering, stop loss above 76000, target 68000-70000. Think too much: wait for confirmation before taking action. 68000-70000 is the first observation area, which will intervene after the volume stabilizes; If it falls below 68000, look at 65000-66000. Core principle: Do not chase high, wait for confirmation before taking action. Strong markets can last longer than expected, but the risk of catching up with extended market trends is also accumulating. 73000-75000 is not the finish line, but it is highly likely to be the first real test of this rebound. At this point, what should be considered is no longer 'how much more can we increase', but 'holding onto profits and waiting for the next opportunity'. Patience is more important than chasing after heights.
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