貝格先生🐢
貝格先生🐢|Aug 20, 2026 01:22
'Liq above has been smoothed out': Game of 67K long short divide officially begins A sudden big green K instantly completed the cleaning of Liq above, BTC has entered a major "long short divide" overnight. Let's start with the conclusion: The upper Liq has been cleaned, but the attraction of the lower Liq is still present (hidden danger) The current STH-RP is approximately 68.5K Whether to fall back below 67K has become a key concern signal // As stated in the weekly reports of the past few weeks (https://((((((x.com))))/market_gegar/status/2088804818865590647), The huge accumulation area of "holding back" for over 2 months and accumulating nearly 2 million BTC, Finally, a huge wave was triggered as scheduled last night. The only drawback is: Personally, I would prefer BTC to clean up the liquidity below first, But the market chose to flatten the Liq above 65.8K and 67.3K first, This has added some difficulty to our market evaluation and trading execution in the future. Identifying Liquidity: A Brief Discussion on what "Trendline Liquidity" means https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2036621311276179466 The main reason for saying 'adding difficulty' is: one ️⃣ If you clean Liq below first: On the one hand, it can prevent potential risks during future price increases (Liq gravity below) in advance, On the other hand, it can also allow us to layout in a low position on the left side first, in order to achieve a higher profit and loss ratio. two ️⃣ First, clean the Liq above (current situation): The Liq below has not been cleaned up yet, which has become a hidden danger for future price increases; At the same time, we need to start closely monitoring the game situation between "Qiangao (67K)" and "STH-RP" in advance. Combining the concepts of "interval trading model" and "STH-RP bull bear boundary", We can basically confirm that '67~69K' is currently the most important right long short watershed to focus on ‼️ RektProof Interval Trading Model Translation&Personal Insights https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/1942398983831445608 In other words: If BTC can confirm its stability above 69K in the next few days, We may have to admit the possibility that the bull market has quietly begun; And this is also the situation I least want to see (after all, leaving Liq hidden dangers below); At this point, we also have to consider the strategy of 'right entry'. However, at least fortunately, STH-RP is not currently in a too high position, From the perspective of cyclical trading, the potential returns missed are not too much. Another possibility is what I would prefer to see more : Failed to break through STH-RP, fell back below 67K, and accompanied by a strong Taker Sell, If this happens, we can return to the previous script framework, We continue to hope that BTC will return to the 61K region and complete the cleaning of Liq in that area, And carry out a Retest of 'Path 1' accordingly. Path deduction of BTC's' three periodic bottom structures' https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2075529216591053204 // Finally, let me mention the "Stupid Money News Account" that I shared with you yesterday: To be honest, combined with the Stupid Money News account and Trendline Liq near 61K below, I always believe that the probability of 'cleaning liquidity downwards first' is higher; But the market is always right, since the market chooses to clean up Liq first, We can only dynamically adjust accordingly, after all, all analysis is ultimately for the service of "probability", There is no 100% trading Bible. For me, the current market situation is regrettable, but compared to self pity, The primary task as a trader is to quickly adjust the next response strategy. After more than two months of narrow fluctuations, the market has finally been pushed up to Liangshan; The next 1-2 weeks may be the most crucial trading window for this bear market so far. The above is today's content, hoping to be helpful to everyone // Related reading resources 'Killing intent reappears': signals of foolish money that have repeatedly bloodied the market resurface https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2089890439793180683 Strange Turn: The proportion of 1y-3y holders begins to decline https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2089528447320428775 Continuous Approaching Pressure: Latest Data Update of STH-RP Model with Deviation Adjustment https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2086990616119148875
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