Hupzy (Spot On Chain)|Aug 16, 2026 22:08
US retail sales fell -๐ฌ.๐ฒ% in July โ the largest monthly drop since May 2025 and well below the +0.1% markets expected. Control-group sales, the cleanest GDP input, plunged -๐ฌ.๐ฐ%, the worst since January.
The miss was broad-based: non-store retailers (including Amazon) dropped -2.2%, the 2nd-largest decline since July 2021. Auto sales fell -1.8%. Ex-auto came in at -0.3% vs expected +0.2%. This is hard spending data confirming the consumer pullback that sentiment surveys have been flagging for weeks.
๐๐๐ฝ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ: A -0.4% control-group decline is a direct negative input to Q3 GDP estimates and reinforces the risk-off macro regime. With the Fed holding at 3.50โ3.75% and the Iran War driving energy costs higher, the consumer is being squeezed from both sides โ elevated prices and shrinking spending power. For BTC and risk assets, weakening consumer spending means less discretionary capital flowing toward speculative assets. The SP500 index perp on Hyperliquid is the most direct tradeable proxy for this consumer-driven equity risk.
source: KobeissiLetter
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