子棋UVDAO|Aug 14, 2026 03:55
Why is it that when you see others making money consistently and decide to follow their trades, you end up losing?
After years of trading, I’ve realized that the most dangerous moments aren’t just when you’re winning streaks yourself, but also when you see others on winning streaks.
Someone in the group posts screenshots of consecutive profits—10x, 20x, with win rates so high it feels like free money. At first, you can stay rational while watching, but after a while, you start doubting yourself: Everyone else is making bank, what am I waiting for?
So, you try a small position for the first time and make a profit. The second time, you increase your position. By the third time, you go all-in with leverage. And then, just as you go heavy, the market starts to pull back.
This isn’t necessarily because others are intentionally trying to trap you.
What you see is only their profit results—you don’t see their costs, position sizes, or stop-loss levels. They might already have a profit cushion from entering at lower levels, so even a 10% pullback still leaves them in the green. But you, chasing at the peak of the hype, face the same 10% drop and end up liquidated.
The bigger issue is that consecutive wins can make the person leading the trades mistake market conditions for personal skill, and make the followers mistake survivorship bias for a stable win rate. In a favorable market, even bad strategies can make money; but when the environment shifts, the last ones to enter often pay the highest price.
The irony of trading is this: Seeing others make money tempts you, but the more they show off, the worse your entry point usually is.
Remember: You can reference someone else’s logic, but don’t copy their position sizes. What you see is their profit, but the risk you bear is your own.
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