比特傻|Aug 13, 2026 13:10
Semiconductor momentum-driven rally chain:
Stock price rises → Momentum funds buy in → Increased demand for OTM Calls → Call IV rises → Dealers hedge by buying stocks → Stock price rises further → Leveraged ETFs are forced to increase positions → Retail investors FOMO → Leverage reaches extremes → A negative catalyst → Dealers/ETFs/margin accounts sell simultaneously → Deleveraging
The rally process is somewhat different from the crypto space.
Mainly driven by the flywheel effect of call options,
While in crypto, it's primarily driven by contract-based flywheels.
But the crash is very similar—after all, we've been through it too many times.
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