DC大于C
DC大于C|Aug 12, 2026 14:31
Announced, all in line with expectations, moderate inflation. Further dispel the expectation of a September interest rate hike But CME shows that there is still about 38% expected to raise interest rates in September, although it is lower than 50%, it still makes the market uneasy, especially since oil prices are still above 80% (in fact, event information is still needed to further reduce the probability of interest rate hikes) Of course, I personally think that there is a high probability that there will be no interest rate hike in September. The S&P index rebounded at the opening of the US stock market, and SKHY also rose above 150. I am still waiting for SPCX to break above 140. If you arrive, prepare to leave. After all, there will be another unlock next week Although this data is good, the market is still concerned about geography and oil prices I went to the official news live broadcast, and according to the interpretation of official commentators, the recent geopolitical escalation may not be very likely, and the United States may return to the path of economic sanctions. Trump may also be depressed, because he can't fight and wants to win quickly, but he is determined. The patience of the market is also limited now, and oil prices have not continued to fall. But after all, as the mid-term election is approaching, and there is inflation, Trump certainly does not want to increase interest rate expectations before the mid-term election (November) So letting inflation continue is to downgrade geopolitics, ease tensions, negotiate, and let oil prices go down There is really not much time left for Trump. At least for both sides, they hope to talk because there have been no further military actions. This is also why, although there have been many short-term users recently, resulting in unfriendly rates (around 0.03 recently, previously 0), there are still empty orders. If given another chance, it would really be a draw. I took it for over a month and also did a few roller coasters. DYOR
+5
Mentioned
Share To

Timeline

HotFlash

APP

X

Telegram

Facebook

Reddit

CopyLink

Hot Reads