水博乱乱|Aug 12, 2026 11:11
Today's market...
Yesterday's dip buy was textbook perfect... (Image 1)
The range was the 63k gap-fill observation zone...
Entry was based on spotting a volume spike with a wick piercing into the dense contract order zone, getting absorbed, and failing to break through the last layer...
At the same time, 1300+ breakout short positions got trapped at the wick's tip...
A very standard dip buy setup...
For now, it seems like the bears haven't given up yet. From the OI (Open Interest), about half of the shorts that entered yesterday are still in the market. (Image 2)
Let's see if today's CPI can push another wave...
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Order book (Image 3)
Looking at the order book... there's still a large number of spot and contract buy orders queued up around the 62~63k range.
If the bears want to push further down, it will likely be a slow grind like yesterday, eating through bit by bit...
62k remains a key support level in the eyes of many bulls... If 62k breaks, this wave could accelerate... (63k also overlaps with a large amount of AVWAP from 58k and 60k—essentially the average cost line for the past two months). Breaking below could trigger stop-losses from short-term traders...
On the upside, contract orders are now queued up again at 64.5k~65k.
If today's CPI triggers an upward spike, this is the zone to watch (also to monitor absorption activity).
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Current structure and plan still align with Image 4.
The 63k gap was only tested briefly last night and hasn't been fully filled yet... At the same time, there are still a lot of orders below 63k, so if today's CPI causes the market to move further down, the dip buy below 63k is still worth watching...
For shorting, the focus remains on the 64.5k~65k range, where POC overlaps with a large number of contract orders.
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