Continuous Approaching Pressure: Latest Data Update of STH-RP Model with Deviation Adjustment As I mentioned in my recent update, with the continuous accumulation of Liq and the increase in chip concentration, It seems that various signs are indicating that 'there is currently a calm before the storm'. At this moment, our old friend STH-RP is also continuing at a stable pace, Step by step, as we approach the current price of BTC, the crossroads of change seem to be within reach. // The indicator in the attached figure is' STH-RP with deviation adjustment ', and the concept is reviewed as follows: ➡️ Calculate the mean and standard deviation of STH-MVRV since 2018 ➡️ Multiply STH-RP by the mean ± n standard deviations of STH-MVRV ➡️ The reason for using data after 2018 as the calculation benchmark is that, The reason is that STH-MVRV after 2018 exhibits significant mean regression characteristics. Red line=STH-RP multiplied by the mean of STH-MVRV plus 1 standard deviation Yellow line=STH-RP Green line=STH-RP multiplied by "Mean of STH-MVRV -1 standard deviation" Blue line=STH-RP multiplied by 'Mean of STH-MVRV -1.5 standard deviations' Detailed review of the bottoming time supported by the blue line: https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2026474493749989766 Analysis of all historical cases supported by the blue line: https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2018501752103047340 // As shown in the attached figure, the latest data of the current model is as follows ： Yellow line (STH-RP): 68753 Green Line: 56747 (decreased by 570 points compared to the last update) Blue line: 50009 (decreased by 488 points compared to the last update) Last update (2026/07/24) https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2080469443352854893 Regarding this set of data, there are two main things that need to be reported to you: one ️⃣ The green line still corresponds to 'Path 2'; The blue line still corresponds to 'Path 3' two ️⃣ STH-RP is very close to the current price, and there may be a fierce game at any time Regarding the previously mentioned "3 types of bottom path deduction", please refer to the following link for details ： https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2075529216591053204 Berg's old friends all know: STH-RP is often seen as the major bull bear boundary for BTC, Whether it's a peak breakout in early 2025 or a bear market in the second half of 2025, During the analysis of the market, STH-RP's strong contribution is inevitable. Lifeline Break: BTC's Death Bell May Have Told (20250225) https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/1894209808557105335 Nowadays, even though BTC is reluctant to go out of its way, As long as STH-RP continues to decline, it will always intersect with the current price, At that time, even if BTC wants to hide, it will not be able to do so. We must make a decisive decision before we can stop. Maintain patience and discipline. We've been waiting for so long, and it's not bad for these few days. The above is today's content, hoping to be helpful to everyone // Related reading resources The Fifth Week of Convergence of Fluctuations: When Will the End of Narrow Range Battle Come https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2086628115057721344 Is the retreat starting? ": The US financial sentiment curve seems to show signs of decline https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2085543188799094800 The latest data update of CVDD for the 'Iron Bottom Myth' https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2084449286927049028