江卓尔_莱比特矿池|Aug 09, 2026 10:54
[Image 1] This chart is pretty cool,
it visualizes the current trend in data form.
The previous three major bottoms (three red diamonds in the top left) all had:
high losses + big volatility.
But the current situation (yellow dot in the bottom left) shows:
not enough losses + low volatility.
Instead of betting that this is an unprecedented 'calm bottom,'
it might be better to bet that this is just a 'breather phase' in the bottoming process.
There have been plenty of these 'breather phases' in history.
In the 2018 bear market, BTC's $6000 level was tested multiple times [Image 3],
and many thought it was an unbreakable bottom.
Before it broke down, it consolidated sideways at 6k~7k for two and a half months,
eerily similar to the current 6w~7w sideways movement for two months.
In the end, it crashed all the way to $3000
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