小龙先生|Aug 08, 2026 23:07
In the past, when we analyzed the market, we relied on candlestick charts, macro trends, on-chain data, and capital flows.
But there’s one dimension that most people have always overlooked: the market’s probability assessment of future events.
It doesn’t tell you whether prices will go up or down. It tells you what the market currently believes and whether this expectation has already been priced in.
In this article, I break down the underlying logic of prediction markets, why traders need them, and why I’ve started to closely follow the ForeGate platform.
If you’re also interested in BTC, macro trends, AI, and global tech events, this is worth reading till the end
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