Today's US jobs report: consensus and major banks mostly see July unemployment at 4.2% (MUFG, PNC, Wells, Deutsche). @UBS & @GoldmanSachs lean 4.3% and prediction markets agree: @Kalshi 4.3% at 31% vs 4.2% at 30%; @Polymarket 4.3% at 35% vs 4.2% at 33% Access normalized prediction markets data on Dune: https://eu1.hubs.ly/H0xwmR20(Dune)