Caleb Franzen|Aug 07, 2026 09:57
Here's the thing...
Bitcoin looks quite good here as it tries to reclaim its 55-day EMA (red).
I've been calling for a relief rally for quite some time and it keeps taking much longer than I've expected, with each attempt fading.
I'm targeting the 200-day EMA (green).
But...
When I first shared that relief rally target, it was around $76k.
Today, it's $72k.
By definition, this means that upside today is quite limited.
Currently +12% implied upside.
I don't think any of us are going to get excited by that.
What should get us excited?
The opportunity to retest the 200-day EMA, break above it, and flip it into support for a potential bullish trend reversal.
That's what I'm hoping to see.
But a lot of work needs to happen between now and then.
Embrace nuance.(Caleb Franzen)
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