The Fed's September interest rate decision has been a hot topic lately. I've been keeping an eye on how market expectations for this decision are evolving. Just happened to see that Senal has a corresponding prediction market, and they're running a Points campaign with a total prize pool of $100,000 USDC, so I decided to jump in and give it a try. Senal is still a relatively new project, but it previously ranked in the top 10 of the Polymarket Builder Program daily leaderboard. The rules for this prize pool campaign are pretty straightforward: Once you reach $100 in valid trading volume for the day, you'll earn 1 Point for every $1 of valid trading volume. The campaign runs until August 31. The event I bet on this time is: The Fed's September FOMC meeting final decision. Current market probabilities: No change: 49% 25 bps increase: 49% Other directions (rate cuts or major adjustments): Extremely low The odds are basically a "50-50 split." Personally, I lean toward No change, mainly because current inflation data, the job market, and recent statements from officials all suggest a more cautious stance. The likelihood of a major shift in the short term seems low. I placed a small position on Senal just for fun, and the overall experience was pretty smooth. I plan to bet on some other popular events later and trade on other platforms to hedge, while also increasing my valid trading volume to earn more Points. Link: https://((senal.io))/?inviteCode=UHZHN4KU&utm_source=share&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=referral Campaign details: https://((senal.io))/points This is purely my personal experience and market observation and does not constitute any investment advice. Prediction markets and related trading involve risks—please make independent judgments and manage your positions responsibly.