十一Eleve|Aug 04, 2026 09:46
Not optimistic about QUID tonight
Wasn't planning to participate in the public sale initially
Didn't think such a high public sale allocation could go live on Alpha
In the end, saw the oversubscription ratio was high and decided to play around with it
Initial circulation: 14.3%
- Public sale: 5% (TGE fully unlocked)
- Ecosystem: 7% (Alpha's 1% is included here)
- Foundation: 2.3% (this portion hasn't moved on-chain yet)
Clear 6% sell pressure
After Alpha got cut twice by AEON and GRVT, liquidity will only get worse
Public sale cost: $45M
Aspecta pre-market: $63M, TGE settles four hours later
Polymarket predicts a 70% chance FDV exceeds $50M within a day
At an average price of $60M, 6% of the tokens require $3.6M to absorb
Hard to imagine if there's enough liquidity to absorb it right now
Plus, it's tough to clear out so many tokens at once, leading to significant sell pressure later
If the price gets pushed up, more people will dump
Trading starts at 9 PM tonight
The project is currently only listed on Bitget and Kraken
0x1a44233fae8d50f1aeb3a5d58dd426ff4814cb53
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