Trump said that he would negotiate with Iran. Iran said that it had not talked with the United States recently. Has the United States and Iran talked about it in recent days? By reviewing the recent interactions between Iran and Middle Eastern countries, we can see the overall situation of US Iran mediation: there have been no direct negotiations, but "multi-level indirect negotiations" are indeed advancing. It seems that Trump has summarized intermediary communication, regional country coordination, and the yet to be officially launched diplomatic process as "negotiations"; Iran, on the other hand, strictly limits "negotiations" to formal authorized contacts between the US and Iranian delegations. From this perspective, there is no direct negotiation confirmed by both sides between the United States and Iran, but the two sides are conducting layered and indirect diplomatic contacts through regional countries such as Oman, Qatar, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia. After all, these countries have to communicate with the United States in the end when communicating with Iran. Oman's location here is actually more important, it is no longer just a "microphone", but a joint negotiating party for the Strait of Hormuz proposal. The content of the talks between Iran and Oman is already very specific, including: The geographical location of temporary entry and exit routes; Is the vessel operating in Iranian or Omani waters; Who has the authority to monitor, inspect, and provide services; Whether to restore the original International Maritime Organization traffic separation system; Who is responsible for mine clearance; Can service fees be charged; Does the temporary arrangement constitute Iran's factual recognition of its right to govern the strait. The biggest disagreement is: Oman and other Gulf countries hope to restore a relatively balanced and international navigation system; Iran hopes that the new arrangement will confirm its greater administrative, monitoring, and billing powers. The United States opposes Iran's control or imposition of fees on international shipping routes. Just saw the latest media reports that sources say Washington has made concessions on the closure of the southern route in the Strait of Hormuz. This is crucial. Previously, here was https://(x.com)/qinbufark/status/2076185072613597214? S=46&t=k6rimWSEbo2D2TXolYcM-A The core reason for the resurgence of the conflict between the two sides in July was that the United States encouraged merchant ships (otherwise they would not dare to act) to seek to open up a southern waterway that was not controlled by the Iranians, which was discovered by Iran. The Iranians firmly sought to use force to effectively control the strait, and then the United States retaliated. If Trump can make concessions on the route south of the Strait of Hormuz, the possibility of direct negotiations between the United States and Iran is very high. In fact, https://((x.com))/qinbafrank/status/2082316157416321504? What s=20 talked about: He is highly likely to reluctantly but helplessly accept Iran's factual control over the Strait of Hormuz So now it's hierarchical negotiation, and the negotiation framework that has emerged is: 1) Oman talks about temporary air routes in the Strait of Hormuz. 2) Qatar and Pakistan pass on US Iran political conditions and restore the Islamabad framework. 3) Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and other Gulf countries provide feedback on security and energy to the United States. 4) After achieving certain results in arranging and stopping attacks in the strait, it is possible to renegotiate the nuclear issue and sanctions. This structure allows both parties to engage in actual bargaining without recognizing "formal negotiations," and also explains why Trump said he was in talks while Iran said they were not. The key to making real progress in the future core is: Can an agreement be reached on temporary navigation, comprehensive opening, and long-term management of the Strait of Hormuz. This article is sponsored by @ bitget_zh, titled 'Bitget Buying US Stocks: Instant Entry, Smooth Trading'