The Kobeissi Letter|Aug 01, 2026 16:43
The US housing market is in for a wild ride.
As rates rise to new highs, the average interest rate on a 30Y Mortgage is nearing 7%.
In other words, if you bought a home in 2021 at 3% interest, moving to a new home today would increase your rate by ~400 basis points.
Assuming you buy a $500,000 home with 20% down:
1. Monthly Payment at 3% Interest: $1,686/mo
2. Monthly Payment at 7% Interest: $2,661/mo
That's an increase of almost $1,000/mo, or +58%.
The already stagnant housing market is set to freeze.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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