比特币橙子Trader|Jul 31, 2026 16:19
In just 40 minutes, nearly $1 trillion in U.S. stock market value evaporated—did this directly crash Bitcoin?
The S&P 500 was initially up about 0.70% during the session but quickly dropped from 7489.52 points to 7399.83 points, a pullback of roughly 1.20% from the high to the low, flipping gains into losses.
The U.S. Treasury has reportedly notified several banks via the New York Fed that it may intervene in the yen market on Friday and has asked them to prepare for subsequent actions.
The yen surged against the dollar by about 3% at one point, and data from the Bank of Japan suggests that this round of yen-buying and dollar-selling intervention could reach as much as $59 billion. If the U.S. joins in, the nature of the intervention would shift from Japan's unilateral defense to a rare coordinated effort.
This poses a direct threat to one of the most crowded trades globally: yen carry trades.
For years, institutions have borrowed yen at extremely low costs, converted it into dollars, and invested in U.S. stocks, bonds, and other high-yield assets.
If the yen appreciates rapidly:
- Yen-denominated debt becomes more expensive
- Leveraged accounts face pressure
- Dollar assets are sold off
- Yen is bought back to repay debt
- Yen continues to rise
- More positions are forced to unwind
Another pressure point for U.S. stocks: the 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 4.737%, hitting an intraday high not seen since January 2025.
Higher risk-free rates further compress the valuations that tech stocks and other high-growth assets can sustain.
In these 40 minutes, the yen's appreciation threatened global leveraged capital, while rising Treasury yields hit U.S. stock valuations hard.
The Bank of Japan controls a single nation's currency.
But the yen has long played the role of the cheapest funding currency in global financial markets.
When the yen suddenly moves in the opposite direction, the assets being forced to sell off might belong to the entire world.
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