AiCoin中文|Jul 31, 2026 07:22
From a grand vision of 439% returns to a 4x leveraged wipeout, a bloody lesson from Wall Street veterans to a 24-year-old AI prodigy!
Former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner shot to fame with his exceptional AGI macro paper *Situational Awareness* and managed to scale his hedge fund to a peak of $45 billion within just a year and a half (with a staggering 439% return in the first half of this year).
But after just one brutal month of AI infrastructure stocks sharply correcting in July, the fund—leveraged up to 4x and crushed by Prime Broker margin calls—was forced into "crisis mode" overnight, dumping its public equity positions wholesale to Ken Griffin's Citadel!
Crash recap: The "perfect death trap" of 4x leverage
AI infrastructure stocks plunged 27%-54% in a single month, while short positions in software stocks were squeezed in the opposite direction.
High leverage collided with a KOSPI crash in South Korea and a pullback in high-beta semiconductor stocks. Despite Leopold urging investors to buy the dip in a letter on July 24, the massive public positions couldn’t be sold directly into the market (or it would have tanked prices). In the end, he had no choice but to offload all public assets at a discount in bulk to Wall Street’s most deep-pocketed cleanup crew—Citadel.
Getting the direction right doesn’t mean you’ll survive to see it play out: You might accurately predict the five-year future of AGI and AI infrastructure, but in financial markets, liquidity risk and leverage can wipe you out in just five days.
Without a mature risk management team, turning "investing" into "extreme leveraged one-sided bets" is a textbook case of self-destruction.
A genius researcher lost to Wall Street’s seasoned risk managers, once again reminding us: In volatile markets, always respect leverage, always respect liquidity!
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