Today's Fed FOMC decision at 2 AM, the key isn't whether there's a rate hike or cut, because it's highly likely rates will remain unchanged. What's important is Waller's tone: Hawkish or dovish. Hawkish: Direct drop (yellow path); Dovish: Rebound then drop (blue path). Either way, a drop and correction are inevitable, because of the divergence in daily volume and price.