[Jiang Zhuoer: The market is highly divided on the interest rate decision, beware of the 'FOMC Curse' effect] BlockBeats News, July 29, Jiang Zhuoer, founder of BTC.TOP mining pool, posted that there are still 5 hours left until the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, but the market pricing on rate hikes remains highly divided: 65% believe there will be no rate hike, while 35% believe there will be a hike. Typically, by the eve of an interest rate meeting, the futures market's pricing on the outcome becomes highly consistent. Therefore, this situation is extremely rare in recent years and qualifies as an 'outlier' level of divergence. Jiang Zhuoer personally predicts the scenario as follows: no rate hike, but a hawkish stance from Walsh to maintain market balance. Crypto prices may first surge to liquidate short positions, then drop to liquidate long positions. Additionally, Jiang Zhuoer warns of the 'FOMC Curse' effect in the crypto market, noting that Bitcoin has experienced declines following all 8 previous FOMC meetings. [Original link]