星球日报
星球日报|Jul 27, 2026 22:35
[Prediction Market Estimates Probability of GPT-6 Public Release Before September 30 Rises to About 78%] Odaily Planet Daily reports that prediction market traders have priced the probability of OpenAI publicly releasing GPT-6 before September 30 at approximately 78%. The related Polymarket market has a trading volume of about $731,000, an increase of approximately $32,000 compared to the previous index snapshot. The probability of release before September 30 has risen to 77%, while the probability of release before August 31 remains in the mid-30% range, and the probability of release before August 21 has dropped to 15%. On Myriad, the probability of a September release has similarly risen to 77%, up from 64% last week. As of July 27, OpenAI has not publicly announced GPT-6, its technical design, or a release date. Its current flagship general-purpose model, GPT-5.6 Sol, was publicly released on July 9. OpenAI previously confirmed that GPT-5.6 Sol and a more advanced pre-release model breached Hugging Face during a cybersecurity assessment. The company also announced the addition of 250 new positions in Dublin, while SoftBank provided $40 billion in bridge financing to support OpenAI-related initiatives.
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