[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged this week is 63.7%] According to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 63.7%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis points rate hike is 36.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by September is 18.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis points rate hike is 55.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis points rate hike is 25.8%.