星球日报
星球日报|Jul 25, 2026 16:57
[Polymarket's Nearly $9 Million Market Indicates a 17% Probability of Ethereum Reaching $3,000 by 2026] Odaily Planet Daily reports that on Polymarket, the contract titled 'Will Ethereum reach $1,000 or $3,000 first?' has a trading volume of $95,300. Traders have priced the $1,000 outcome at $0.54 and the $3,000 outcome at $0.50. This market uses Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candlestick data for settlement, with a deadline of December 31, 2026. The Polymarket contract titled 'What price will Ethereum reach by 2026?' has a trading volume nearing $9 million. Traders estimate the probability of Ethereum reaching $2,000 at 83%, $2,500 at 56%, $3,500 at 12%, and $5,000 at less than 4%. Another Polymarket contract tracking whether Ethereum will hit a new all-time high has a trading volume of $2.3 million. Traders believe the probability of this happening by December 31 is 6%, and by September 30 is 1%. On Kalshi, related markets indicate that traders estimate the probability of Ethereum exceeding $3,500, $3,750, and $4,000 within the year at 15%, 12%, and 10%, respectively.
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