小龙先生
小龙先生|Jul 24, 2026 22:28
【 Latest news: Clear bill to be voted on next week, Trump signs clause prohibiting self issuance of coins ❗ ️] Brothers and sisters, the CLARITY Act has come to the last step. Three hours ago, Senate leader Thune had already spoken: vote next week, regardless of whether the Democratic Party follows or not. If this bill is passed, it will directly change the regulatory framework of the cryptocurrency market, officially classify ETH as a commodity, and further confirm the status of BTC, bringing regulatory clarity to a new level. But the process is very complicated. The new version of the bill has been released, which explicitly prohibits the President, Vice President, and members of Congress from issuing coins for profit during their term of office. Trump has already signed and agreed to the clause prohibiting himself from issuing coins. The ethical provisions have been settled, but that doesn't mean the bill is stable. The Republican Party has 53 seats and needs 60 votes to pass, requiring at least 7 Democrats to support it. Currently, only 2-3 Democratic senators publicly support the bill. The new issue is the ownership of law enforcement power. The Republican version of the text gives law enforcement power to the Department of Justice, while the Democratic Party demands that state attorneys general also have the authority to enforce law. Maryland Senator Alssobrooks directly said, "Handing over law enforcement to the Department of Justice? This is not a serious proposal The BTC market has already reacted in advance. When Treasury Secretary Bessent said the bill was in a "1-yard line" state, BTC was pushed to around 66900 at one point. But then the expectation cooled down, and the possibility of the bill fell from 82% to 37%, and the price also fell back to the range of 64K-65K. Now there are several core variables: Firstly, whether the Democratic Party will ultimately follow or not. Gillibrand said, 'Without an executable ethical language, there can be no Democratic vote.'. The 'ethical language' she spoke already exists, but it is uncertain whether she is satisfied or not. Secondly, was Thun really forced to vote. He said, 'Regardless of whether the Democratic Party follows or not, we will vote next week.'. If it is a forced vote, there is a high probability that it will not exceed 60 votes. If it really passes, it will be a better than expected benefit. Thirdly, the August 7th congressional recess is a mandatory deadline. Next week is the last window of opportunity. After this window, the bill will be postponed until after the midterm elections in November, or even 2030. The impact of this clear childbirth law in the United States on BTC: If the bill passes next week, there is a high probability that 67500 will break through, and 70800 is expected. If the bill is shelved again or the forced vote fails, 66900 will be the peak of this rebound, with a high probability of stepping back on 64K-63K. The probability given by Polymarket is 37%. The market expectation is not optimistic, but the lower the expectation, the greater the impact if it really passes. See you next week for the answer. Let the Senate vote first, let the result come to fruition first, BTC short positions continue to be held. Bitcoin BTC 3D Integrated Trading Analysis CLARITY Act
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